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natural [2014/09/26 05:31]
kai [Scientific Revolutions]
natural [2014/10/29 07:48] (current)
kai [The Hypothetico-Deductive Model]
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-====== Natural Science ======+**[[start|<<​ Up]]**
  
-**subject areas:**+====== Natural Science ====== 
 +---- 
 +===== Subject Areas =====
  
   * physics   * physics
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  ​| ​                    + | inductive reasoning  ​  ​| ​                    + | inductive reasoning  ​
  ​| ​                      |  ​| ​                      |
- ​| ​                 hypothesis+ ​| ​            ​hypothesis, of the form 
 + ​| ​            "​whenever ..., ..."
  ​| ​                      |  ​| ​                      |
  ​| ​                      ​|<​----------------------  ​| ​                      ​|<​----------------------
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 </​code>​ </​code>​
  
-==== Notes====+==== Notes ====
  
-  * it is descriptive, not normative:\\ our model does not tell scientists what they __should be__ doing, rather it tells us what scientists ​__are doing__;+  * it is __descriptive__, not __normative__:\\ our model does not tell scientists what they //should be// doing, rather it tells us what scientists ​//are doing//;
  
-  * the prediction is derived from the hypothesis using logic:\\ e.g. "All apples fall" (= hypothesis) **&** "This object is an apple" **=>** "This object will fall" (= prediction)+  * the prediction is derived from the hypothesis using logic -- e.g.\\ "All apples fall" (= hypothesis) **&** "This object is an apple" **=>** "This object will fall" (= prediction)
  
-  * if the outcome of the experiment does not agree with the prediction, it may be an __auxiliary hypothesis__ that has been falsified,\\ e.g. "this object"​ might rise, because it actually is a balloon and not an apple;+  * if the outcome of the experiment does not agree with the prediction, it may be an __auxiliary hypothesis__ that has been falsified ​-- e.g.\\ "this object"​ might rise, because it actually is a balloon and not an apple;
  
-  * contrary to what many people think, science requires __creativity and imagination__,​ especially at the points marked **+** in the diagrame.g.+  * contrary to what many people think, science requires __creativity and imagination__,​ especially at the points marked **+** in the diagram ​-- e.g.
     * to invent an hypothesis (-- as in the example of the two maternity wards), and     * to invent an hypothesis (-- as in the example of the two maternity wards), and
     * to come up with a suitable experiment;     * to come up with a suitable experiment;
  
-  * to be accepted as scientific knowledge, an hypothesis must be __testable__:​ an hypothesis which cannot be tested may be true, but it is not scientific,\\ e.g. neither "There is a God" nor "There is no God" is a scientific claim;+  * to be accepted as scientific knowledge, an hypothesis must be __testable__:​ an hypothesis which cannot be tested may be true, but it is not scientific ​-- e.g.\\ neither "There is a God" nor "There is no God" is a scientific claim
 + 
 +  * in some areas it may not be possible to perform experiments,​ so instead for the testing we depend on further observations -- e.g. 
 +    * in astronomy,​ 
 +    * in biology, because of ethical problems;
  
   * experiments in science must be __repeatable__ and the hypothesis must have been subjected to testing by other scientists -- that is how __individual knowledge__ becomes __shared knowledge__;​   * experiments in science must be __repeatable__ and the hypothesis must have been subjected to testing by other scientists -- that is how __individual knowledge__ becomes __shared knowledge__;​
  
-  * an hypothesis, or various hypotheses, may be part of a __theory__, and the theory may be represented in a __model__, which helps us to visualise the theory;\\ as our confidence in a theory/​model grows, we come to accept the entities postulated in it,\\ e.g. the success of the atomic theory has led us to believe in electrons;+  * an hypothesis, or various hypotheses, may be part of a __theory__, and the theory may be represented in a __model__, which helps us to visualise the theory;\\ as our confidence in a theory/​model grows, we come to accept the entities postulated in it -- e.g.\\ the success of the atomic theory has led us to believe in electrons.
 ===== Scientific Revolutions ===== ===== Scientific Revolutions =====
- 
  
 it may //appear// that scientific knowledge accumulates steadily, always increasing,​\\ **but** there are times when in some area all of the knowledge is discarded and scientists start again; it may //appear// that scientific knowledge accumulates steadily, always increasing,​\\ **but** there are times when in some area all of the knowledge is discarded and scientists start again;
  
   * so periods of __normal science__ alternate with __scientific revolutions__ (Thomas Kuhn, 1962):   * so periods of __normal science__ alternate with __scientific revolutions__ (Thomas Kuhn, 1962):
-  ​+
   * in periods of normal science, scientists work within a __paradigm__:​   * in periods of normal science, scientists work within a __paradigm__:​
-    ​* the paradigm determines what answers are being looked for, and even which questions can be asked -- +     * the paradigm determines what answers are being looked for, and even which questions can be asked -- 
-    * e.g. telepathy and telekinesis are not part of the present scientific paradigm;+     ​* e.g. telepathy and telekinesis are not part of the present scientific paradigm;
  
-  * a scientific revolution is a __paradigm shift__\\ (-- the idea of a paradigm shift is used quite generally nowadays):+  * a scientific revolution is a __paradigm shift__ (-- the idea of a paradigm shift is used quite generally nowadays):
     * there are no agreed standards even how to decide between rival hypotheses,     * there are no agreed standards even how to decide between rival hypotheses,
     * so it is 'every man for himself'; ​         * so it is 'every man for himself'; ​    
  
 examples of scientific revolutions:​ examples of scientific revolutions:​
-  * the phlogiston theory (that heat is a substance, with negative weight) >> kinetic theory of heat, +  * the phlogiston theory (that heat is a substance, with negative weight) > > kinetic theory of heat, 
-  * Ptolemy'​s geocentric model of the universe >> Copernicus'​s heliocentric model >> modern cosmology: no centre, +  * Ptolemy'​s geocentric model of the universe > > Copernicus'​s heliocentric model > > modern cosmology: no centre, 
-  * Aristotelian physics >> Newtonian physics >> Einstein'​s Theory of Relativity;+  * Aristotelian physics > > Newtonian physics > > Einstein'​s Theory of Relativity;
  
 preceding the establishment of a paradigm in (an area of) a science may be a long __pre-science__:​ preceding the establishment of a paradigm in (an area of) a science may be a long __pre-science__:​
   * like a constant revolution: everyone starts for himself,   * like a constant revolution: everyone starts for himself,
-  * has often involved myths, superstitions,​ //etc.// -- e.g.\\ astrology >> astronomy,\\ alchemy >> chemistry,\\ creationism >> theory of evolution.  ​+  * has often involved myths, superstitions,​ //etc.// -- e.g. 
 +    * astrology > > astronomy, 
 +    * alchemy > > chemistry, 
 +    * creationism > > theory of evolution.  ​
  
 <​code>​ <​code>​
- ​pre-science ​ ----------> ​ normal science ​           -----            + ​pre-science ​ ----------> ​ normal science ​           -----
                     ----> ​ working within a paradigm ​     |                     ----> ​ working within a paradigm ​     |
                    ​| ​                                     |                    ​| ​                                     |
                    ​| ​                                     |                    ​| ​                                     |
-                   ​| ​      ​scientic revolution ​ <​--------- ​                                                                                 +                   ​| ​      ​scientic revolution ​ <​---------
                     -----  a paradigm shift                     -----  a paradigm shift
 </​code>​ </​code>​
natural.1411709500.txt.gz · Last modified: 2014/09/26 05:31 by kai